ForecastMind
Markets/76ers vs. Heat: 1H Moneyline
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76ers vs. Heat: 1H Moneyline

Closes March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

53%YES
48%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$8K

Bid / Ask

51% / 54%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

53%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

76ers vs. Heat

Full event →
76ers vs. Heat
56%
76ers vs. Heat: 1H Moneyline
53%
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 244.5
48%
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 245.5
47%
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5
46%

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 53%99%
Buy YES@ 53¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.1%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 48¢

-1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "76ers vs. Heat: 1H Moneyline" at 53% YES / 47% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 53%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "76ers vs. Heat: 1H Moneyline." Prediction market snapshot: YES 53%, NO 47%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786728

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.