ForecastMind
Markets/Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5
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Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5

Closes March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
99%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$24K

Bid / Ask

0% / 1%

Spread

0.60pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5

Full event →
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5
1%
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5
1%
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5
1%
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5
0%

4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-14.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

14% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Trough probability

0% YES — lowest in period

Mar 30, 2026

Biggest move: -13.9pp

14% → 1%

Mar 30, 2026

Current

1% YES (+0.1pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.60 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1786751

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.