Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5
Closed April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$40K
Liquidity
$21K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $40K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1787198
This event has 3 active outcome markets. Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5: 5%, Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a dr: 0%, Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5: 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~95%.
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
9% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 12, 2026
Biggest move: -9.0pp
9% → 0%
Apr 12, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this