Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 6?
Closes April 6, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +3.1pp above current market price; market at 3% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +2.6% ↑, ETH +2.7% ↑, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$8K
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
2% / 4%
Spread
2.20pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 6?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 2.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 6?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1792466
This event has 7 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 53%, price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 27%, price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,0: 3%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~17%.
price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
0% YES
Apr 5, 2026
Current
1% YES (+0.9pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+11.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this