ForecastMind
Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 6?
Share on X

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 6?

Closes April 6, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
21%FIS
+1ppvs market 21%
underpriced

ForecastMind sees this +0.7pp above current market price; market at 20% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.2% ↑, ETH +1.0% ↑, S&P +0.3% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC +0.2% ↑, ETH +1.0% ↑, S&P +0.3% ↑
+0.7pp
Live compute05:16 AM

Polymarket Price

21%YES
80%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$16K

Bid / Ask

19% / 21%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

21%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 6?" at 21% YES / 79% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 21%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 6?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 21%, NO 79%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1792525

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,10: 21%, price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,00: 1%, price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,40: 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~78%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

22% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Current

22% YES (-3.0pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 21%99%
Buy YES@ 21¢
Edge

+2.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 80¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+2.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this