Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)
Closed March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$62K
Liquidity
$76K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $62K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1794449
This event has 4 active outcome markets. Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5): 100%, Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: 100%, Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9: 100%.
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
46% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
88%
Apr 1, 2026
Biggest move: +38.5pp
50% → 88%
Apr 1, 2026
Peak probability
100% YES — highest in period
Apr 1, 2026
Current
100% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this