ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
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Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

Closed March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$291K

Liquidity

$107K

Expert Signal

83%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $291K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 83%. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1798125

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5: 100%, Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: 100%, Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5): 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+46.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

54% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Trough probability

33% YES — lowest in period

Mar 31, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

33%

Mar 31, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

100%

Apr 1, 2026

Biggest move: +56.5pp

44% → 100%

Apr 1, 2026

Current

100% YES (+56.5pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this