ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5
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Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5

Closed April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

30%YES
70%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$69

Bid / Ask

10% / 52%

Spread

42.00pp

Expert Signal

30%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5" at 30% YES / 70% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 30%. The bid-ask spread is 42.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 30%, NO 70%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1800283

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Brandon Miller: Points O/U 20.5: 52%, Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5: 30%, Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 4.5: 28%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-3.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

40% YES

Mar 31, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

53%

Mar 31, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

37%

Apr 1, 2026

Biggest move: -16.0pp

53% → 37%

Apr 1, 2026

Peak probability

53% YES — highest in period

Mar 31, 2026

Current

37% YES (-16.0pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 30%99%
Buy YES@ 30¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 70¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this