Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5
Closed April 13, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$46K
Liquidity
$13K
Bid / Ask
12% / 16%
Spread
4.00pp
Expert Signal
18%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5" at 18% YES / 82% NO. In the last 24 hours, $46K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 18%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 18%, NO 82%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1800586
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U: 100%, Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U: 100%, Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U: 63%.
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.9%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this