ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5
Share on X

Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5

Closed April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

10%YES
91%NO

Volume 24h

$99

Liquidity

$125

Expert Signal

10%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5" at 10% YES / 90% NO. In the last 24 hours, $99 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 10%. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 10%, NO 90%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1800890

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 10%99%
Buy YES@ 10¢
Edge

+5.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 91¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+5.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this