ForecastMind
Markets/LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
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LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Closes April 6, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$1.2M

Liquidity

$279K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.2M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1801815

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LE: 100%, LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regu: 100%, LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 W: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-42.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

67% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

25%

Apr 6, 2026

Biggest move: -57.0pp

82% → 25%

Apr 6, 2026

Peak probability

82% YES — highest in period

Apr 6, 2026

Current

25% YES (-57.0pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this