San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Closes April 13, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$178K
Liquidity
$472K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $178K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1806242
This event has 10 active outcome markets. San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 100%, Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5): 100%, Spread: San Diego Padres (-4.5): 100%.
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
44% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
64%
Apr 7, 2026
Biggest move: +34.3pp
64% → 98%
Apr 7, 2026
Current
100% YES (+2.2pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this