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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 7?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 7?

Closes April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

2%YES
98%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$20K

Bid / Ask

2% / 2%

Spread

0.50pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+17.6pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 7?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1808005

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 51%, price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 31%, price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 18%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 2%99%
Buy YES@ 2¢
Edge

+17.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.3%
½ Kelly0.2%
Buy NO@ 98¢

-0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+17.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this