ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
Share on X

Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 228.5

Closed April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

53%YES
48%NO

Volume 24h

$80K

Liquidity

$160K

Bid / Ask

53% / 54%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

53%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 228.5" at 53% YES / 47% NO. In the last 24 hours, $80K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 53%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 228.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 53%, NO 47%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1811549

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. Celtics vs. Heat: 64%, Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 228.5: 53%, Celtics vs. Heat: 1H Moneyline: 53%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

54% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Current

55% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 53%99%
Buy YES@ 53¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.1%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 48¢

-1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this