ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5
Share on X

Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Closed April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

54%YES
47%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$9K

Bid / Ask

43% / 59%

Spread

16.00pp

Expert Signal

54%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5" at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 16.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1812071

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5: 54%, Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 14.5: 50%, Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5: 50%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+10.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

45% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

52%

Apr 1, 2026

Biggest move: +6.5pp

45% → 52%

Apr 1, 2026

Peak probability

56% YES — highest in period

Apr 1, 2026

Current

55% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 54%99%
Buy YES@ 54¢
Edge

+0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.1%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 47¢

-1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this