ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: Knicks (-15.5)
Share on X

Spread: Knicks (-15.5)

Closed April 2, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$105K

Liquidity

$123K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Knicks (-15.5)" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $105K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 2, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Spread: Knicks (-15.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1812851

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Spread: Knicks (-13.5): 52%, 1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5): 49%, Spread: Knicks (-14.5): 48%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+12.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

44% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

62%

Apr 2, 2026

Biggest move: +19.0pp

43% → 62%

Apr 2, 2026

Peak probability

62% YES — highest in period

Apr 2, 2026

Current

56% YES (-5.5pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this