Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Trump's remarks not air?
Closed April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$61K
Liquidity
$9K
Bid / Ask
2% / 10%
Spread
8.40pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump's remarks not air?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $61K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 8.40 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Trump's remarks not air?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1813652
This event has 2 active outcome markets. Trump's remarks not air?: 78%, Trump's remarks not air?: 1%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~21%.
Trump's remarks not air?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Current
0% YES (-0.3pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this