Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$35K
Liquidity
$16K
Bid / Ask
1% / 2%
Spread
1.40pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $35K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.40 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1813673
This event has 4 active outcome markets. Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5: 2%, Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5: 2%, Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5: 1%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~94%.
Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Biggest move: +13.4pp
0% → 14%
Apr 1, 2026
Peak probability
14% YES — highest in period
Apr 1, 2026
Current
2% YES (-10.6pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-16.7%
EV per $ wagered
+0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this