Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 18.5
Closed April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$9K
Bid / Ask
0% / 4%
Spread
4.10pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Josh Giddey: Points O/U 18.5" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 4.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Josh Giddey: Points O/U 18.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1813689
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5: 97%, Josh Giddey: Points O/U 18.5: 4%, Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 10.5: 1%.
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 18.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
21% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Trough probability
1% YES — lowest in period
Apr 1, 2026
Biggest move: -14.4pp
15% → 1%
Apr 1, 2026
Current
4% YES (+3.5pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-5.9%
EV per $ wagered
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this