ForecastMind
Markets/Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels
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Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels

Closes April 15, 2026

Polymarket Price

84%YES
17%NO

Volume 24h

$927K

Liquidity

$21K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels" at 84% YES / 16% NO. In the last 24 hours, $927K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 15, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels." Prediction market snapshot: YES 84%, NO 16%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1815859

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.: 100%, Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.: 100%, Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels: 84%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+42.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

57% YES

Apr 7, 2026

Trough probability

33% YES — lowest in period

Apr 8, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

33%

Apr 8, 2026

Biggest move: +46.5pp

33% → 79%

Apr 8, 2026

Current

100% YES (+21.0pp recent)

Apr 8, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 84%99%
Buy YES@ 84¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly3.0%
½ Kelly1.5%
Buy NO@ 17¢

-3.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 3.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this