ForecastMind
Markets/Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
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Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Closes April 14, 2026

Polymarket Price

39%YES
61%NO

Volume 24h

$116K

Liquidity

$251K

Bid / Ask

38% / 40%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

39%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?" at 39% YES / 61% NO. In the last 24 hours, $116K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 39%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 39%, NO 61%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1818724

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. Paris Saint-Germain FC: 100%, Paris Saint-Germain FC: 39%.

Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

39%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 39%99%
Buy YES@ 39¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 61¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this