Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
Closes April 14, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$48K
Liquidity
$63K
Bid / Ask
30% / 31%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
31%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5" at 31% YES / 69% NO. In the last 24 hours, $48K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 31%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 31%, NO 69%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1818942
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U: 89%, Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U: 71%, Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Bot: 69%.
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.6%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this