ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5
Share on X

Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5

Closed April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

44%YES
56%NO

Volume 24h

$30K

Liquidity

$32K

Bid / Ask

31% / 32%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

55%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5" at 44% YES / 56% NO. In the last 24 hours, $30K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 55%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 44%, NO 56%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823256

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H Moneyline: 92%, Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 86%, Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5: 46%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-11.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

56% YES

Apr 2, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

44%

Apr 3, 2026

Biggest move: -13.0pp

57% → 44%

Apr 3, 2026

Current

44% YES (-13.0pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 44%99%
Buy YES@ 44¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 56¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this