ForecastMind
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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
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Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Closed April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

43%YES
57%NO

Volume 24h

$12K

Liquidity

$105K

Bid / Ask

67% / 68%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

43%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)" at 43% YES / 57% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 43%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 43%, NO 57%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1832198

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5: 54%, Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5: 44%, Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5): 43%.

Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5
54%
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
44%

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

43%
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees
40%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

43% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Current

43% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 43%99%
Buy YES@ 43¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 57¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this