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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner
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Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner

Closed April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

67%YES
34%NO

Volume 24h

$67K

Liquidity

$13K

Expert Signal

67%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner" at 67% YES / 33% NO. In the last 24 hours, $67K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 67%. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 67%, NO 33%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1835683

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Win: 67%, Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5): 51%.

Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner

67%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+6.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

61% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Biggest move: +6.0pp

61% → 67%

Apr 3, 2026

Peak probability

67% YES — highest in period

Apr 3, 2026

Current

67% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 67%99%
Buy YES@ 67¢
Edge

+0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.5%
½ Kelly0.7%
Buy NO@ 34¢

-1.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this