ForecastMind
Markets/Carabelli vs. Assche: Match O/U 22.5
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Carabelli vs. Assche: Match O/U 22.5

Closes April 10, 2026

Polymarket Price

52%YES
49%NO

Volume 24h

$59

Liquidity

$3

Expert Signal

52%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Carabelli vs. Assche: Match O/U 22.5" at 52% YES / 48% NO. In the last 24 hours, $59 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 52%. The market closes on April 10, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Carabelli vs. Assche: Match O/U 22.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 52%, NO 48%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1836929

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Carabelli vs. Assche: Match O/U 21.5: 79%, Carabelli vs. Assche: Match O/U 22.5: 52%, Set Handicap: Assche (-1.5) vs Carabelli (+1.: 50%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 52%99%
Buy YES@ 52¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 49¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this