ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Tre Jones: Points O/U 14.5
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Tre Jones: Points O/U 14.5

Closed April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$539

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Tre Jones: Points O/U 14.5" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Tre Jones: Points O/U 14.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1841157

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Tre Jones: Assists O/U 5.5: 100%, Kam Jones: Assists O/U 4.5: 100%, Tre Jones: Rebounds O/U 3.5: 49%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-22.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

23% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

50%

Apr 4, 2026

Biggest move: -25.5pp

50% → 25%

Apr 4, 2026

Peak probability

50% YES — highest in period

Apr 4, 2026

Current

1% YES (-24.0pp recent)

Apr 4, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this