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Markets/Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
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Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

Closes April 13, 2026

Polymarket Price

26%YES
74%NO

Volume 24h

$554K

Liquidity

$63K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A" at 26% YES / 74% NO. In the last 24 hours, $554K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 13, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A." Prediction market snapshot: YES 26%, NO 74%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1842221

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) : 100%, Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IE: 26%, Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - I: 22%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-31.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

32% YES

Apr 13, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

63%

Apr 13, 2026

Biggest move: -36.4pp

37% → 0%

Apr 13, 2026

Peak probability

63% YES — highest in period

Apr 13, 2026

Current

0% YES (-36.4pp recent)

Apr 13, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 26%99%
Buy YES@ 26¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 74¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this