Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
Closes April 14, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$9K
Bid / Ask
29% / 30%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
30%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner" at 30% YES / 70% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 30%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-13). "Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 30%, NO 70%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1842268
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 2 Winn: 100%, Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 1 Winn: 100%, Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 W: 30%.
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this