ForecastMind
Markets/Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)
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Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)

Closes April 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$121K

Liquidity

$373K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $121K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1844437

Outcome Markets2 markets

This event has 2 active outcome markets. Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5): 100%, Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (: 78%.

Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)

100%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+61.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

39% YES

Apr 11, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

70%

Apr 11, 2026

Biggest move: +31.0pp

39% → 70%

Apr 11, 2026

Peak probability

100% YES — highest in period

Apr 11, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 11, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this