Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins
Closes April 16, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$556K
Liquidity
$652K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins" at 48% YES / 52% NO. In the last 24 hours, $556K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 16, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins." Prediction market snapshot: YES 48%, NO 52%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1844632
This event has 12 active outcome markets. Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5: 100%, Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5: 100%, Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5): 100%.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
47% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Biggest move: -29.0pp
33% → 4%
Apr 9, 2026
Current
0% YES (-3.5pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-1.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this