Athletics vs. New York Yankees
Closes April 16, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$781K
Liquidity
$93K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Athletics vs. New York Yankees" at 32% YES / 68% NO. In the last 24 hours, $781K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 16, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Athletics vs. New York Yankees." Prediction market snapshot: YES 32%, NO 68%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1844640
This event has 2 active outcome markets. Athletics vs. New York Yankees: 32%, there be a run scored in the first inning?: A: 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~68%.
Athletics vs. New York Yankees
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
36% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
100%
Apr 9, 2026
Biggest move: +62.5pp
38% → 100%
Apr 9, 2026
Peak probability
100% YES — highest in period
Apr 9, 2026
Current
100% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.6%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this