Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 10?
Closes April 10, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +1.0pp above current market price; market at 41% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.2% ↑, ETH -0.1% ↓, S&P +0.8% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$23K
Liquidity
$26K
Bid / Ask
42% / 44%
Spread
1.70pp
Expert Signal
41%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 10?" at 53% YES / 47% NO. In the last 24 hours, $23K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 41%. The bid-ask spread is 1.70 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 10?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 53%, NO 47%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1846025
This event has 6 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,0: 53%, price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 51%, price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 6%.
price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
37% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Current
40% YES (+1.1pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this