ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
Share on X

Spread: 76ers (-5.5)

Closed April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$20K

Liquidity

$95K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: 76ers (-5.5)" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $20K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Spread: 76ers (-5.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1847103

Outcome Markets9 markets

This event has 9 active outcome markets. Spread: 76ers (-5.5): 100%, Spread: 76ers (-2.5): 100%, Spread: 76ers (-4.5): 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+57.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

43% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Trough probability

24% YES — lowest in period

Apr 4, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

74%

Apr 4, 2026

Biggest move: +49.5pp

24% → 74%

Apr 4, 2026

Current

100% YES (+26.5pp recent)

Apr 4, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this