Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" this week? (April 12)
Closes April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$89
Liquidity
$21
Bid / Ask
4% / 78%
Spread
74.00pp
Expert Signal
42%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" this week? (April 12)" at 42% YES / 58% NO. In the last 24 hours, $89 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 42%. The bid-ask spread is 74.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" this week? (April 12)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 42%, NO 58%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1847739
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
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