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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5
Share on X

Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5

Closed April 4, 2026

Polymarket Price

45%YES
55%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$8

Bid / Ask

4% / 86%

Spread

82.00pp

Expert Signal

45%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5" at 45% YES / 55% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 45%. The bid-ask spread is 82.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 45%, NO 55%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1851815

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Tre Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5: 50%, Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5: 45%, Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5: 31%.

Tre Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5
50%

Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5

45%
Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5
31%
Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5
28%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+12.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

26% YES

Apr 4, 2026

Biggest move: +17.5pp

31% → 48%

Apr 4, 2026

Peak probability

48% YES — highest in period

Apr 4, 2026

Current

38% YES (-10.0pp recent)

Apr 4, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 45%99%
Buy YES@ 45¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 55¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this