ForecastMind
Markets/Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
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Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5

Closes April 5, 2026

Polymarket Price

45%YES
56%NO

Volume 24h

$9K

Liquidity

$38K

Bid / Ask

44% / 45%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

45%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5" at 45% YES / 55% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 45%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-05). "Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 45%, NO 55%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1855844

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. Hornets vs. Timberwolves: 60%, Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5: 49%, Hornets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 110.5: 49%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

46% YES

Apr 5, 2026

Current

45% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 5, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 45%99%
Buy YES@ 45¢
Edge

+1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 55¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this