Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5
Closed April 5, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$6K
Liquidity
$3K
Bid / Ask
0% / 1%
Spread
0.50pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1855854
This event has 3 active outcome markets. Austin Reaves: Points O/U 28.5: 46%, Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5: 2%, Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 7.5: 0%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~52%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
0% YES
Apr 5, 2026
Biggest move: +27.3pp
0% → 28%
Apr 6, 2026
Current
33% YES (+5.0pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+8.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this