Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
Closed April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$259K
Liquidity
$475K
Bid / Ask
82% / 83%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
88%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Timberwolves vs. Rockets" at 19% YES / 81% NO. In the last 24 hours, $259K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 88%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Timberwolves vs. Rockets." Prediction market snapshot: YES 19%, NO 81%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1861186
This event has 11 active outcome markets. Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5: 100%, Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5: 100%, Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5: 100%.
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
51% YES
Apr 4, 2026
Trough probability
17% YES — lowest in period
Apr 11, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
39%
Apr 5, 2026
Biggest move: -22.5pp
61% → 39%
Apr 5, 2026
Peak probability
61% YES — highest in period
Apr 4, 2026
Current
20% YES (+1.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this