ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Warriors vs. Kings
Share on X

Warriors vs. Kings

Closed April 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$2.8M

Liquidity

$840K

Bid / Ask

89% / 90%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

70%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Warriors vs. Kings" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2.8M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 70%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Warriors vs. Kings." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1861194

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. Warriors vs. Kings: 1H O/U 111.5: 100%, Warriors vs. Kings: 1H O/U 110.5: 100%, Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 227.5: 53%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Apr 4, 2026

Biggest move: -30.0pp

81% → 51%

Apr 11, 2026

Peak probability

85% YES — highest in period

Apr 10, 2026

Current

51% YES (-31.0pp recent)

Apr 11, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this