Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Suns vs. Lakers
Closed April 11, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.9M
Liquidity
$96K
Bid / Ask
23% / 24%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
27%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Suns vs. Lakers" at 25% YES / 75% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.9M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 27%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Suns vs. Lakers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 25%, NO 75%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1861196
This event has 11 active outcome markets. Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5: 39%, Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 216.5: 34%, Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 217.5: 29%.
Suns vs. Lakers
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
51% YES
Apr 4, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
34%
Apr 11, 2026
Biggest move: +29.5pp
50% → 80%
Apr 5, 2026
Peak probability
86% YES — highest in period
Apr 8, 2026
Current
34% YES (-22.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this