Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 11?
Closes April 11, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC -0.1% ↓, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$16K
Bid / Ask
93% / 95%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
94%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 11?" at 94% YES / 6% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 94%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 11?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 94%, NO 6%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1862480
This event has 7 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,30: 94%, price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,20: 3%, price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,10: 1%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~2%.
price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
92% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Current
95% YES (+2.5pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this