ForecastMind
Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 11?
Share on X

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 11?

Closes April 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

99%YES
1%NO

Volume 24h

$15K

Liquidity

$25K

Bid / Ask

98% / 99%

Spread

0.40pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-0.7pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 11?" at 99% YES / 1% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 11?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 99%, NO 1%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1862556

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢
Edge

+0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly23.1%
½ Kelly11.5%
Buy NO@ 1¢

-23.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 23.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this