Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 11?
Closes April 11, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +0.7pp above current market price; market at 2% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.4% ↑, S&P -0.1% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$26K
Bid / Ask
2% / 2%
Spread
0.20pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 11?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 11?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1862566
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-14.9%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this