ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Pacers vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline
Share on X

Pacers vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline

Closed April 5, 2026

Polymarket Price

43%YES
57%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$984

Bid / Ask

72% / 89%

Spread

17.00pp

Expert Signal

43%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Pacers vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline" at 43% YES / 57% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 43%. The bid-ask spread is 17.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-05). "Pacers vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline." Prediction market snapshot: YES 43%, NO 57%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1871035

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. Pacers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5: 67%, Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5: 66%, Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5: 63%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 43%99%
Buy YES@ 43¢
Edge

+1.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.9%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 57¢

-0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this