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Markets/Jazz vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline
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Jazz vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline

Closes April 5, 2026

Polymarket Price

9%YES
91%NO

Volume 24h

$494

Liquidity

$11K

Bid / Ask

8% / 10%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

9%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Jazz vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline" at 9% YES / 91% NO. In the last 24 hours, $494 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 9%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-05). "Jazz vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline." Prediction market snapshot: YES 9%, NO 91%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1871044

Outcome Markets6 markets

This event has 6 active outcome markets. Jazz vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5: 54%, Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5: 52%, Jazz vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5: 49%.

Jazz vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5
54%
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5
52%
Jazz vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5
49%
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5
49%

Jazz vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline

9%
Jazz vs. Thunder
2%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 9%99%
Buy YES@ 9¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 91¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this