Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
Closed April 7, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.5M
Liquidity
$57K
Bid / Ask
50% / 51%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
51%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Spurs (-8.5)" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.5M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Spread: Spurs (-8.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1873572
This event has 4 active outcome markets. 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5): 100%, Spread: Spurs (-7.5): 55%, Spread: Spurs (-8.5): 51%.
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✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
51% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Apr 6, 2026
Current
46% YES (-4.0pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this