Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Closes April 18, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$821K
Liquidity
$28K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies" at 13% YES / 87% NO. In the last 24 hours, $821K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 18, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies." Prediction market snapshot: YES 13%, NO 87%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1877573
This event has 11 active outcome markets. Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillie: 100%, there be a run scored in the first inning?: A: 100%, Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillie: 13%.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
70% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 11, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
23%
Apr 11, 2026
Biggest move: -47.0pp
70% → 23%
Apr 11, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+4.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this