Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 6?
Closes April 7, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$26K
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
1% / 1%
Spread
0.20pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 6?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $26K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 6?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1885997
This event has 17 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 51%, Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?: 19%, Bitcoin reach $71,000 on April 6?: 13%.
Bitcoin reach $73,000 on April 6?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
2% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Current
2% YES (-1.0pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+21.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this