Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5
Closes April 7, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$300K
Liquidity
$100K
Bid / Ask
53% / 54%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
54%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5" at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $300K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1887572
This event has 3 active outcome markets. Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5: 54%, Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5: 52%, Heat vs. Raptors: 49%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
55% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Current
54% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.9%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this